XRP is on track to log a fifth consecutive monthly decline if February closes below its open, a rare streak on the token’s higher timeframes that has historically preceded major trend shifts. The asset, which peaked above $3 in 2025, is trading around $1.38 as markets approach month-end.
Rare Five-Month Slide on the Monthly Chart
The XRP/USD monthly chart shows a series of red candles extending from late 2025 into early 2026, with each month closing below its open. The sequence has pulled price from above $3.00 into the $1.30–$1.40 range. XRP opened February near $1.64; a monthly close beneath that level would confirm a fifth straight red month.
Such runs are uncommon for XRP. The last five-month losing streak occurred in early 2017, shortly before one of the asset’s strongest bull phases. The only longer run on record was six consecutive red months in 2014. Since hitting an all-time high around $3.65 in July 2025, XRP has printed just one green monthly candle (September 2025).
Historical Context and Key Levels
XRP is the native token of the XRP Ledger, designed to facilitate fast, low-cost cross-border settlements. Extended monthly losing streaks have, in past cycles, given way to slowing sell pressure as price approaches notable supports. Market participants are watching the $1.20 region, where buyers stepped in earlier in February, as a structural area that could help stabilize price if tested again.
On the upside, any sustained recovery would likely require reclaiming intermediate resistance levels rather than an immediate parabolic move. Analysts are watching:
- $1.60: February’s open and a near-term pivot.
- $2.00 and $2.50: Intermediate resistance zones from prior consolidations.
- $2.80–$3.00: A critical band before retesting prior 2025 highs.
March Outlook
With February nearly closed, attention turns to whether March can break the streak. A crypto analyst known as Bird on X (formerly Twitter), @Bird_XRPL, noted that prior runs of consecutive red months have often been followed by a green month, suggesting the odds may favor a positive March close. However, a steady recovery appears more probable than a single “God candle” that reverses multiple months of losses at once.
Today’s market structure also differs from earlier cycles: XRP’s market capitalization is substantially larger than in past bull phases, implying that meaningful rallies could require greater capital inflows and time to develop. As a result, a potential trend shift—if it emerges—may be characterized by incremental reclamation of resistance zones rather than an immediate surge.
Bottom Line
If February closes below approximately $1.64, XRP will register a rare five-month red streak on the monthly chart—a setup that has historically preceded notable inflection points. Whether March delivers a reversal or extends the slide may hinge on how price behaves around the $1.20 support region and its ability to reclaim the $1.60–$2.50 resistance band in the weeks ahead.